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中国上市公司发展报告(2022)

书 名: 中国上市公司发展报告(2022)
英 文 名: ANNUAL REPORT ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF CHINESE LISTED COMPANIES (2022)
作 者:  张鹏 张磊 杨耀武 张平
I S B N: 978-7-5228-0675-4
丛 书 名: 中国上市公司蓝皮书 订阅
关 键 词:  上市公司 创值能力 利润分化 资本市场
出版日期: 2022-10-01

中文摘要

本书指出,新冠肺炎疫情和国际地缘政治冲突大大削弱了脆弱的全球经济,各国经济呈现分化态势,全球经济周期不同步特征加强。如果2022年下半年疫情防控形势总体稳定,下半年中国GDP增速可能超过5%,全年GDP增速在4%左右。A股上市公司微观主体经营业绩与GDP走势较为一致,处于产业链上游企业经营业绩要好于中游,中游要好于下游。未来资本市场改革方面,中国资本市场应继续全面深化改革开放,应持续推进股票发行注册制改革;持续加强资本市场法治供给;持续稳步推进资本市场高水平双向开放。本书进一步对中国上市公司高质量发展情况进行了评价,认为在疫情冲击和内外部环境变化导致的百年未有之大变局情势下,上市公司高质量发展表现为其韧性能力所映射的微观主体转型和转危为安、化危为机的培基、升级动力。在历年价值评估模型的基础上,更加完善细化并加入、更新多维度的衡量指标,对中国A股分行业上市公司进行了评估与综合排序,筛选出分行业价值较高的上市公司,构成“漂亮100”投资组合,该投资组合回测效果良好,组合在经风险调整后收益较高,这也提示该组合集聚了中国各行业较为优质的微观主体,是中国宏观经济情势在微观上的反映。本书对中国数字经济产业上市公司发展情况进行了研究和评价。综合运用数字经济产业数据、数字核心产业上市公司年报披露数据以及由爬虫技术获得的上市公司高频和细颗粒度数字化转型数据对中国数字经济产业上市公司经营进行了详细分析,并基于风险控制、运营绩效、创新能力和估值水平等四要素体系对数字经济类上市公司进行了评价并构建数字经济投资组合。总体来说,尽管中国数字化转型面临空间受限挑战,但经过必要的政策调整,数字经济发展仍有潜力可挖,并可为数字经济投资创造良好条件。本书同时对市场较为关心的债券市场、房地产市场和ESG投资等进行了专题研究,基于翔实的数据和文献,对其发展态势进行了回顾总结并对未来发展进行了展望。

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