阿拉伯发展报告（2022）
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中文摘要
《阿拉伯发展报告（2022）》主要对2021年中东形势进行系统分析和探讨。2011年中东剧变是中东遭遇的百年未有之大剧变，近年又遭遇百年不遇之大疫情。在多重危机的共同作用下，中东地区始终难以实现稳定与发展。2021年，中东地区仍在困顿中寻求突围。
首先，经济形势处在萧条期。时至今日，中东经济状况并未出现根本性好转迹象。2020年以来全球疫情蔓延，以及全球经济低迷导致的油价暴跌，使中东地区原本疲弱的经济形势雪上加霜。2021年后半年，受油价回升和疫情控制等利好影响，中东经济开始触底反弹。由于结构性危机、周期性危机和疫情危机并未解决且诸多不利因素相互叠加，中东国家整体经济状况仍处在萧条震荡期。
其次，中东治理模式仍处在探索期。中东地区面临至今没有各国公认的样板和模式，中东政治转型仍处在艰难探索期。一则，世俗化与伊斯兰化的方向之争仍无定论。二则，集权化与分权化趋势并行不悖，中东政治转型左右摇摆。
再次，中东地区格局处在“缓和与动荡并存”的转型期。在经历了长达十年的激烈博弈后，地区大国普遍出现扩张政策后劲不足的倾向。2021年中东出现了难得的缓和趋势。但中东许多地区仍深陷人道主义灾难，极端恐怖组织威胁也不容小觑。
最后，美国中东政策处在调适期。2021年拜登政府上台后，美国中东政策看似与特朗普政府的截然不同，实则换汤不换药，主旋律仍是战略收缩，只不过策略和手段存在较大差异。
《阿拉伯发展报告（2022）》内容主要分为六部分。第一部分是总报告，主要探讨2021年阿拉伯国家的政治经济处境、地区博弈态势、美国中东政策等主要问题。第二部分是国别报告，主要对阿富汗、伊拉克、突尼斯、也门、埃及等国的年度形势进行了评估。第三部分是专题报告，主要就中东地区格局阵营化问题、阿拉伯油气市场、中东经济复苏问题、“什叶派新月地带”与伊朗地区政策、巴以问题进程与前景展望、阿尔及利亚与摩洛哥的领土争端、塔利班在阿富汗重新掌权等进行专题探讨。第四部分是大国与中东，分别探讨美国、俄罗斯域外大国在中东地区的竞争与博弈态势。第五部分是中阿关系，主要围绕中阿经贸合作、中国与海合会合作问题进行探讨。第六部分是附录，整理了阿拉伯国家2021年度大事记。
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总报告
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国别报告
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专题报告
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大国与中东
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中阿关系
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附录
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