中亚国家发展报告（2022）
书 名： 中亚国家发展报告（2022）
英 文 名： ANNUAL REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT OF CENTRAL ASIA （2022）
作 者： 金哲 高焓迅
I S B N： 978-7-5228-2360-7
丛 书 名：
中亚黄皮书
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关 键 词： 中亚 独立30年 议会选举 经济复苏
出版日期： 2023-09-01
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中文摘要
本报告由中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所组织编写。作者均是来自中国中亚问题研究机构的专家和学者，书中的见解和理论具有较高的权威性和可靠性，是读者了解和研究中亚及南高加索地区形势和国际关系的重要参考资料。本报告由总报告、分报告、地区专题、中亚与世界、中亚与中国和国别形势六部分组成。
本年度报告的主题是“稳中求变 共谋发展”，内容具有以下特点。
一是具有鲜明的时代特色。2021年是中亚国家独立30周年。在百年变局和世纪疫情叠加背景下，中亚各国政治和安全总体呈稳定态势，但经济复苏艰难，社会累积性问题多发。
二是重视基础研究。本报告注重利用较为成熟的理论工具，在融会政治学、经济学、社会学等学科研究方法的基础上，尽可能实现跨学科、跨领域研究，着眼构筑具有中国特色的中亚学科体系、学术体系和话语体系，服务于中国中亚学派建设。
三是突出应用研究。2021年中亚地区热点频发，本报告坚持问题导向、聚焦热点问题，并提出若干引发深度思考的建议。
2021年，中亚有的国家进行了总统大选，有的国家举行了议会选举，虽有嘈杂之声，但总体平稳顺利进行。各国经济均不同程度地实现了复苏和增长，相关领域呈现一些亮点。在新冠疫情大流行的背景下，全球产业链和供应链遇阻、国际大宗商品价格波动加剧、国际经贸活动锐减，疫情引发的经济衰退导致失业人口和贫困率上升，同时诈骗等社会治安事件增多，并引发一系列连锁反应。2021年中亚国家未发生重大安全和暴力恐怖事件，但阿富汗的局势仍不稳定，致使区域内毒品走私、恐怖活动、激进极端思潮传播等安全问题有抬头趋势。2021年中亚国家继续奉行多元、平衡、务实的外交政策，积极与大国互动合作，参与地区治理，哈乌共同推进的中亚一体化显露生机。
2022年，中国与中亚国家迎来建交30周年，构建“中国—中亚国家命运共同体”的努力无疑为中亚地区的稳定发展注入了强大动力。刚过而立之年的中亚国家将继续探索权力交接的稳定机制，不断完善国家政治制度、提升治理能力；经济上将继续致力于发展现代工业和制造业，重视绿色发展议程，并积极迎接其带来的机遇；社会安全领域将继续加大执法安全力度，打击“三股势力”和跨国有组织犯罪、毒品走私等，维护稳定和谐的社会环境；外交方面将继续积极进取，在加强地区团结协作的基础上与各大国保持良好合作关系，为自身发展营造良好的外部条件。
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分报告
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中亚与世界
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