中亚国家发展报告（2015）

本书是《中亚国家发展报告》中的第四部，由中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所组织编写。作者是来自中国主要中亚问题研究机构的专家和学者，具有较高的权威性和可靠性，本报告是读者了解和研究中亚地区形势与国际关系的重要参考资料。本年度报告由六个板块与大事记组成，包括总报告、热点问题、专题报告、中亚国家与世界、中亚国家与中国、国别形势六大部分。在国别形势介绍中，除中亚五国外，本报告继续增加对外高加索格鲁吉亚、亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆三国的形势分析和介绍。作者们运用定量与定性相结合的研究方法，从宏观和微观的角度对2014年以来中亚地区政治、安全、经济、外交等总体形势，地区热点问题和影响中亚地区形势发展的内外因素以及中亚各国发展现状与趋势进行了深入分析和研判，提出了很多独到见解。在完成本报告过程中，作者们广泛收集材料，认真分析研究，一些学者还深入中亚国家进行实地调研，从而得出了令人信服的结论。虽然作者们阐述的是自己本人对中亚地区形势的看法和观点，但这些观点在中国中亚研究学界具有一定的代表性。2014年以来，国际与地区政治经济形势继续发生深刻变化，发生了许多影响深远的重大事件，如乌克兰危机、西方国家对俄罗斯进行严厉经济制裁、原油和大宗商品价格大幅下降、俄罗斯和中亚国家本币币值贬值、“伊斯兰国”极端组织出现等等。这些都使中亚地区政治、经济和安全形势变得更加复杂，威胁和挑战增多。很多人在中东北非持续动荡和乌克兰危机之后都把目光投向中亚地区，有不少人对2015年中亚地区形势发展前景抱悲观态度。学者们的研究成果使我们看到，在如此困难和复杂的环境下，中亚国家的表现出乎不少人预期，它们较好地应对了各种不利因素的影响，保持了国内政治的基本稳定和经济的稳步发展。2015年对中亚国家将是非常重要而关键的一年。中亚国家虽然局部地区或个别国家可能会出现不安定情况，但总体上将继续保持政治稳定和经济发展。在经济上，欧亚经济联盟的成立对中亚国家会产生不同程度的影响。在外交上，各国都将重视和改善与周边国家关系放在优先位置，都将继续采取多元外交政策，积极发展与俄罗斯、中国、美国、欧盟等国家和国际组织关系。2015年，中国丝绸之路经济带战略正式启动并进入具体实施阶段。中亚各国对中国的倡议反响积极、热烈，并将本国发展战略与丝绸之路经济带建设进行对接，人们期待“丝绸之路经济带”建设能给自己的国家和自己的生活带来新的活力和新的变化。

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总报告

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热点问题

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专题报告

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中亚国家与世界

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中亚国家与中国

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国别形势

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书名：	中亚国家发展报告（2015）
英文名：	ANNUAL REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT OF CENTRAL ASIA （2015）
作者：	孙力吴宏伟张宁杨进
I S B N：	978-7-5097-7837-1
丛书名：	中亚黄皮书订阅
关键词：	社会发展研究报告中亚 2015
出版日期：	2015-08-01