应对气候变化报告（2023）
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中文摘要
气候系统变暖的趋势仍在持续，并且呈现加速态势。2022～2023年，全球气候变化与年际波动叠加引发全球性气候异常，世界多地极端天气气候事件发生，并创下新纪录。绿色低碳转型已成为全球共识，俄乌冲突、科技创新、绿色“一带一路”建设等因素可能影响未来转型的步伐。在纷繁复杂的国际形势下，面对国内经济下行压力持续加大的挑战，中国在大力稳经济的同时，推动应对气候变化和落实“双碳”目标取得新进展。本书总报告对应对气候变化形势进行了分析与展望，分报告首先介绍了气候变化科学新认识，接着盘点了国际气候治理进程，然后展示了中国推进碳达峰碳中和的政策和行动，分享了行业和城市低碳发展进展等，附录依惯例收录了2022年全球、“一带一路”区域和中国气候灾害的相关统计数据，供读者参考。
报告认为，第一，全球变暖趋势持续，全球高温不断刷新纪录，温升首次单月破1.5℃，我国极端天气气候事件频发，多地遭遇创纪录的高温和暴雨。气候变化的影响广泛而深远，复合型气候风险加剧。第二，疫情后全球碳排放量快速反弹创新高，俄乌冲突对能源转型的影响长期化，国际经济技术竞争空前激烈，这些使得减排成效放缓，但是随着《联合国气候变化框架公约》和《巴黎协定》的深入推进，IPCC评估报告不断更新，绿色低碳发展成为国际共识。第三，全面均衡的全球盘点已开启，全球集体量化减排目标为全球气候行动提供保障，全球适应目标将推动国际社会对适应问题的关注，设立“公正转型路径工作方案”议题，关注弱势群体，促进社会整体转型。第四，面对纷繁复杂的国际形势，中国坚定不移地将碳达峰碳中和纳入生态文明建设整体布局和经济社会发展全局，落实“双碳”目标取得新进展。“1+N”政策体系进一步完善，地方因地制宜实施“双碳”行动，积极稳妥推进能源转型，数字化与绿色化协同推进，气候适应型城市建设试点进一步深化。
展望未来，虽然各种发展挑战依然存在，但应对气候变化、实现低碳转型发展已经成为国际共识，更加积极的减排意愿在联合国框架下不断涌现，各国的气候行动也在政府和市场的双重推动下坚毅前行。国际社会将在减排目标方面不断取得进展；在适应方面，随着全球适应目标的提出和实施路径的逐渐明确，国际合作和各国的国内行动也将迈出更大步伐，推动建立更具韧性的气候适应系统；在转型发展方面，与碳中和目标实现相匹配的经济、社会发展政策措施体系的构建将成为国际趋势，新能源产业、数字产业以及环保节能产业等将成为转型发展新动能，并持续推动实现经济、社会、环境协同发展。
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气候变化科学新认识
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