日本经济与中日经贸关系研究报告（2024）
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中文摘要
本书回顾并展望了2023～2024年度日本宏观经济的运行状况。2023年，日本经济逆势复苏、高开低走，全年名义GDP增长率高达5.7%。由于受日元持续贬值等因素的影响，2023年，日本名义GDP折算为美元的规模低于德国，在全球经济排名中降为第四位。受全球通胀高企和日元贬值的影响，日本国内物价依然居高不下，对居民消费和企业投资形成较大压力，但为逃离通缩带来了契机，为此日本央行于2024年3月解除了负利率政策和YCC政策，向退出非传统货币政策机制迈出了一大步。展望日本经济走势，从短期来看，随着经济社会生活正常化，日本经济持续缓慢复苏的可能性较大，但地缘政治和日本政局变动对日本经济持续恢复造成很大的不确定性。从中长期来看，外部经济环境趋于改善，日本国内也在做出适应性调整，但是，日本经济和社会的深层次结构性问题难以解决，机遇与挑战并存。加强中日经贸合作对日本促进经济复苏具有特殊意义，对中国经济高质量发展也具有重要意义。
本书以日本经济社会现代化的实现与升级为研究主题，设有“总报告”、“分报告”与“战后日本实现经济社会现代化的政策与实践”三个栏目。本书以总报告为基础，对日本财政、金融、产业以及对外经济关系的动态、面临的问题、未来走势进行了全方位分析，在此基础上，本书还重点分析了中日经贸合作遇到的新挑战，RCEP对供应链合作和贸易发展的积极影响等热点问题。同时，本书对战后日本实现共同富裕，推进人与自然和谐共生的政策实践，日本依附型现代化与经济发展，日本农业农村现代化发展现状、推进措施和问题，日本产业现代化的特征，日本企业经营现代化的实现与转型，日本金融体系现代化的演进及内外动力，日本社会保障制度现代化的历史演进与成效，日本贸易制度现代化进程与特点，日本实现科技现代化路径与特点，日本流通产业现代化的经验等课题进行了具体、深入的探讨，以期为实现中国式现代化宏伟目标提供借鉴。
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总报告
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分报告
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战后日本实现经济社会现代化的政策与实践
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