中国就业发展报告（2023）
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中文摘要
《中国就业发展报告（2023）》是由中国劳动和社会保障科学研究院组织编写的就业发展年度报告，包括总报告和四个专题篇，共14份研究报告。全书分析了我国2022年就业总体形势与就业的未来发展趋势，以及就业优先政策的新进展，关注了影响就业的劳动力供需、制造业用工和中小微企业经营与用工等宏观因素，从就业政策与就业服务角度探讨了创业担保贷款政策、低碳转型绿色发展的就业相关政策以及公共就业服务和人力资源服务行业，研究了高校毕业生、新市民、灵活就业人员和新就业形态劳动者等重点群体的就业问题，并考察了职业技能培训。
报告指出，2022年我国经济社会发展和就业受到多重超预期因素的重大冲击，面临复杂严峻的形势。从全年看，就业局势在宏观环境的不确定性中保持了总体基本稳定，但主要指标明显波动，特别是在第二季度和年末受疫情冲击，经济与就业增长都出现较大幅度波动；企业招聘活动减少，劳动力市场需求偏弱，企业用工情况波动加剧，稳岗压力加大，青年就业困难凸显，群体失业风险面扩大，农民工返乡现象有所增加；城市就业压力加大，行业结构调整加剧，部分劳动者就业质量受损，就业感受与预期走低，稳就业仍面临诸多压力。
人口规模变化、绿色低碳转型、制造业用工是2022年就业领域关注的焦点，它们是影响就业形势的重要因素。首先，人口是构成劳动力的基础，未来我国劳动力供需均呈持续下降趋势，其中劳动力供给下降幅度较大，劳动力供求格局从过去劳动力无限供给向有限剩余，再向供求基本平衡、结构性矛盾突出转变，我国就业政策的着力点将发生转变。其次，低碳转型绿色发展的就业是我国转变经济增长方式、建立健全绿色低碳循环发展的经济体系的一个重要就业增长点，是实现“双碳”目标和落实就业优先政策的结合点，它将对我国就业规模、就业结构、就业质量等方面产生影响。最后，制造业是立国之本、强国之基，也是吸纳就业的重要渠道。伴随经济社会和产业发展转型，制造业用工需求和就业格局也出现新变化和新情况。对此，本书专门组织了几篇专题报告进行研究。
2022年，围绕保就业、稳就业，我国就业优先政策全面强化。减负稳岗各项政策加速落地，对中小微企业改善经营和用工状况起到积极作用；创业担保贷款在20年的探索实践中取得显著成效。就业服务不断优化，人力资源服务行业基本面整体向好，向着数字化、国际化、规范化和资本化的方向发展，职业技能培训扎实开展，为稳定就业局势提供了有力支撑。
报告认为要重点加强对高校毕业生、新市民、灵活就业人员、新就业形态劳动者等群体就业的政策帮扶与服务。针对这些群体的就业状况、就业突出问题等进行了专题研究，提出了针对性的对策建议。本报告还从构建工学一体化技能人才培养模式、促进企业高技能人才需求与职业院校人才供给有效衔接等方面对完善职业技能培训体系开展了有益的探索研究。
总体来看，面对当前复杂严峻的宏观经济与就业局势，需要贯彻落实党的二十大精神，坚持就业是最基本的民生定位，实施就业优先战略，强化就业优先政策：平衡宏观政策目标，加强政策支持，稳预期、强信心；优化就业政策体系，精准施策保主体促就业；健全多元化就业促进机制，保障重点群体就业；加强失业监测预警，健全失业风险应对机制。
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