中国文化产业供需协调检测报告（2020）

本报告基于1998～2018年增长，以扩大人民群众文教消费需求和促进城乡、区域共享为目标，检测2018年全国城乡文教消费需求总量应有空间：供需协调性测算36836.25亿元，消除负相关测算48481.04亿元，最佳比例值测算53058.23亿元，最小城乡比测算53058.23亿元，弥合城乡比测算68932.28亿元，城乡无差距测算106457.85亿元，地区无差距测算125744.40亿元，而实际总量仅为31882.97亿元。

全国城乡文教消费需求相关方面的增长差距一目了然：一方面在于经济增长与基本民生、文化民生增进的协调性差距，另一方面在于城乡之间、地区之间民生与文化民生增进的均衡性差距。正是文教消费需求增长不力导致文化生产供给增长不足，中国文化产业的发展空间必须从增强“内生动力”中拓展出来，文化产业成为支柱性产业本身并不是目的。

在以上分析基础上，以消解发展不平衡不充分为最终目的，测算2020年全国文教消费总量增长空间：历年均增值目标38732.81亿元，供需协调性目标54211.61亿元，消除负相关目标62509.46亿元，最佳比例值目标67153.42亿元，最小城乡比目标66650.34亿元，弥合城乡比目标86817.01亿元，城乡无差距目标134738.91亿元，地区无差距目标157845.62亿元。

按照1998～2018年增长，检测至2020年各省域文教消费增长目标的距离排行：历年均增值测算前5位为贵州、宁夏、甘肃、河南、山西；消除负相关测算前5位为河北、黑龙江、河南、吉林、海南；最佳比例值测算前5位为黑龙江、河南、河北、辽宁、海南；最小城乡比测算前5位为黑龙江、河南、河北、辽宁、海南；弥合城乡比测算前5位为黑龙江、河南、河北、辽宁、海南；城乡无差距测算前5位为黑龙江、辽宁、吉林、上海、河北；供需协调性测算前5位为甘肃、湖南、云南、黑龙江、辽宁。

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总报告

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省域报告

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书名：	中国文化产业供需协调检测报告（2020）
英文名：	ANNUAL EVALUATION REPORT ON THE COORDINATED SUPPLY-DEMAND OF CHINA’S CULTURAL INDUSTRY （2020）
作者：	王亚南刘婷方彧赵娟张晓明祁述裕向勇
I S B N：	978-7-5201-6465-8
丛书名：	文化蓝皮书订阅
关键词：	文化产业供需平衡协调发展
出版日期：	2020-06-01