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CommonID:DIR_71699987,ID:12693024,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:683350,name:前言,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:12693018,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:12693023,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2021-07-06 16:19:55.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 05:36:58.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2020-11-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:前言,ISBN:978-7-5201-7414-5,BookTitle:突发事件舆情导控,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:前言,_RowNo:1

CommonID:DIR_71699988,ID:12693026,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:683351,name:第一章 绪论,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:12693018,AbstractCH:本研究以三个具有内在逻辑关联的主要问题为牵引。这三个问题是：突发事件舆情演化有哪些规律性特征，这些规律性特征使突发事件舆情导控面临什么样的风险，如何来化解突发事件舆情导控的风险。围绕这三个问题，本研究进行集中研究探讨。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:106848,582912,90483,EKeyWords:68297,582913,31302,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:12693025,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120201101X20203704001_000_001,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2021-07-06 16:19:55.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 05:36:58.0,HitCount:39,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:12693027,DownCount:54,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2020-11-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:突发事件舆情导控研究绪论,ISBN:978-7-5201-7414-5,BookTitle:突发事件舆情导控,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:突发事件舆情导控研究绪论,_RowNo:2

CommonID:DIR_71700011,ID:12693029,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:683352,name:第二章 突发事件舆情导控相关概念和理论,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:12693018,AbstractCH:突发事件舆情导控的整个过程实际上就是一个风险治理的过程。其中，对突发事件舆情的规律性特征的探悉是一个风险观察与判断的过程，对突发事件舆情导控的风险分析是一个风险评估与识别的过程，风险治理程式及能力构建实际上是风险治理过程的具体展开，而舆情导控平台建设则是整个风险治理过程的实现。因此，风险的观察与判断—风险的评估与识别—风险的治理这一完整链条充分体现了风险治理框架的核心思想。本研究以风险治理理论为总体指导，从理论分析、过程解构、能力模型创建以及实践转化四个方面逐次展开探讨。风险治理理论是贯穿本研究全过程的理论基础，舆情传播理论和信息演化理论对研究中的相关部分提供理论支持。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:21878,582912,90483,371984,582914,EKeyWords:66494,582913,31302,416028,582915,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:12693028,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120201101X20203704001_000_002,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2021-07-06 16:19:55.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 05:36:58.0,HitCount:26,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:12693030,DownCount:49,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2020-11-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:突发事件舆情导控相关概念和理论,ISBN:978-7-5201-7414-5,BookTitle:突发事件舆情导控,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:突发事件舆情导控相关概念和理论,_RowNo:3

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信息网络技术的快速发展，使新媒体环境下突发事件舆情有了新的生成基础，表现出新的特点和规律。每一次舆情风波，都是一次风险的释放和扩大。突发事件舆情因其特殊性已然成为影响社会持续发展与和谐稳定的重要因素。如何把握其特点规律以因势利导，提高对突发事件舆情信息的分析研判能力，及时有效地把握舆情动态，以更好地引导社会舆论，是风险治理面临的严肃课题与严峻挑战。

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突发事件舆情作为一种治理风险，对社会和谐稳定产生着重要影响，对政府风险治理提出了越来越高的要求。然而，风险是有规律可循的，无论是从它自身的生成和演化来看，还是从我们的应对和导控来看，都是有其根由的。因此，我们不仅需要把握具有原发性质的突发事件舆情生命周期演化过程的风险，还要把握舆情导控过程中衍生出来的风险，以及由于管理方面存在的问题所产生的处置风险。对不同类型的风险进行分析，成为进行突发事件舆情风险治理的前提和重要基础。

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从突发事件舆情导控的风险生成分析不难看出，其导控面临的风险源是复杂多维的，因此，风险治理的全面性、系统性是一个关键问题。全面风险治理不是单一手段或几种手段的简单叠加，而是强调整体性功能的发挥。需要站在大系统的视角上进行全面、整体的分析，构建突发事件舆情导控全面风险治理体系。

体系强调的是系统之间的整合与均衡。对过程的描述能够体现体系的运行手段，对能力的描述则体现了体系的价值目标。本章运用风险治理理论，从突发事件舆情导控风险治理的过程和能力两个方面进行分析，构建突发事件舆情导控风险治理的体系框架。其中，前三节主要讨论舆情导控风险治理过程框架，第一节运用具有快速响应特征的OODA决策循环对风险治理过程进行重新规划，提出突发事件舆情导控风险治理的四阶段程式，构建风险治理过程框架。第二节、第三节分别针对过程框架的两个重要部分（舆情态势风险感知和舆情态势风险管理）中的关键过程建立模型，具体探究突发事件舆情态势感知和决策行动环节的运行机理。第四节运用信息演化理论以信息运作为驱动研究突发事件舆情导控风险治理能力的生成演化，探究突发事件舆情导控风险治理的能力框架，为突发事件舆情导控风险治理体系提供参考。

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CommonID:DIR_71700108,ID:12693046,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:683356,name:第六章 突发事件风险化解的舆情导控平台,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:12693018,AbstractCH:

突发事件舆情导控离不开一体化信息系统或平台的支持，大数据技术的出现为平台的建设提供了新的契机。从风险导控来看，一方面，风险事件的舆情数据量呈指数级增长，使导控主体需要认知海量的舆情数据；另一方面，风险应对决策的做出，也意味着能够拥有极为强大的数据支撑。本章以上一章建立的突发事件舆情导控理论模型为指导，试图利用大数据技术构建面向风险化解的突发事件舆情导控平台，为政府全面掌握舆情态势、化解存在的各类风险、提升风险治理能力提供技术支持。

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CommonID:DIR_71700130,ID:12693049,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:683357,name:第七章 结论与建议,ShortName:,SubName:,EnTitle:,EnShortTitle:,EnSubTitle:,Level:0,BookId:12693018,AbstractCH:本研究主要运用风险治理理论、舆情传播理论和信息演化理论，对突发事件舆情进行风险治理研究。本研究在对舆情演化的规律性特征进行考察的基础上，对具有原发性质的突发事件舆情存在的原生风险、对突发事件舆情导控引发的衍生风险和突发事件舆情导控条件存在的风险进行了分析和评估，进而从多构面探寻突发事件风险治理的舆情导控基本程式，解析风险治理体系能力的生成，最后从提升风险化解成效的角度利用大数据技术构建起突发事件舆情导控平台，为风险治理提供可行性方案。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:21878,582912,90483,2786,EKeyWords:66494,582913,31302,2787,SubjectWords:,LiteratureId:12693048,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b120201101X20203704001_000_007,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2021-07-06 16:19:56.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2021-11-03 05:36:58.0,HitCount:19,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:12693050,DownCount:48,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2020-11-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:突发事件舆情导控研究的结论与建议,ISBN:978-7-5201-7414-5,BookTitle:突发事件舆情导控,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:突发事件舆情导控研究的结论与建议,_RowNo:8

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