中国经济前景分析
中文摘要
本书对2000年中国经济前景进行了分析，从消费需求；波动；当前财政问题；金融体制改革和货币政策；国有企业改革的回顾与展望 ；农民收入与农村市场分析；中国对外贸易形势分析与预测 ；中国吸收外资与国际收支的分析及预测 ；中国产业结构在开放条件下的调整等方面进行了具体阐述。
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CommonID:DIR_12848987,ID:2848987,SiteID:14,Type:formerAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140122,name:编者前言,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:2848988,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:15.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:编者前言,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:编者前言,_RowNo:2
CommonID:DIR_12848989,ID:2848989,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140123,name:中国经济形势分析与预测10575715,ShortName:null,SubName:（2000年春季报告）,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先阐述了国民经济指标预测，其次分析了宏观经济形势，并指出了需要注意的问题：投资、第三产业、农业和农民收入、积极的财政政策等。最后介绍了政策建议：发挥财政货币作用，全面拉动社会投资需求；努力增加居民收入，改善居民未来预期；努力优化供给，提高创新能力等。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:22897,20415,22185,7487,EKeyWords:30738,31270,31764,100087,SubjectWords:214765,LiteratureId:2848990,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_001,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:15.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:28,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2848991,DownCount:8,AuthorInfos:,BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国经济形势分析与预测（2000年春季报告）,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国经济形势分析与预测（2000年春季报告）,_RowNo:3
CommonID:DIR_12849020,ID:2849020,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140124,name:消费需求再分析,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先介绍了一个简要的理论分析框架，其次论述了中国消费需求问题：增加公务员工资、提高3条保障线水平；增加教职人员工资；增加农民收入等。接着分析了关于需求不足与结构调整等。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:25709,34994,7483,EKeyWords:27103,77393,23809,SubjectWords:214766,LiteratureId:2849021,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_002,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:15.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:18,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849022,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"赵京兴":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:消费需求再分析,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:消费需求再分析,_RowNo:4
CommonID:DIR_12849045,ID:2849045,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140125,name:中国经济波动分析,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先介绍了99年中国经济增长与波动的特点：经济增长实现了预期的宏观调控目标；各需求要素对经济增长的贡献有所变化；在投资需求中，社会投资的增长明显乏力等。最后分析了经济增长连续下滑的原因，从总需求、总供给、价格等方面具体分析。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:25907,118159,61799,7473,EKeyWords:67617,31202,116462,182805,SubjectWords:214767,LiteratureId:2849046,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_003,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:15.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:34,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849047,DownCount:5,AuthorInfos:{"刘树成":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"樊明太":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国经济波动分析,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国经济波动分析,_RowNo:5
CommonID:DIR_12849074,ID:2849074,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140126,name:中国当前的财政问题,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先介绍了中国财政收支结构的特点，政府收入与支出的特点。其次阐述了中国财政在国民经济中地位：财政预算收入对GDP的影响；支出对GDP的影响；债务余额等。接着描述了当前财政政策对经济增长的作用。指出了主要问题并提出了建议。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:7488,182806,20984,EKeyWords:32307,182807,20988,SubjectWords:214768,LiteratureId:2849075,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_004,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:15.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:35,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849076,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"余永定":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"李军":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"纪红":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国当前的财政问题,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国当前的财政问题,_RowNo:6
CommonID:DIR_12849125,ID:2849125,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140127,name:金融体制改革和货币政策分析,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先回顾了1999年，展望了2000年。其次阐述了基础货币结构的变化及2000年政策重点：从需求与供应角度分析了基础货币的变化，指出了问题和进一步调整的方向。接着介绍了实际利率的作用：实际利率的走势与GDP增长；实际利率变动和消费需求增长率等。最后描述了中国货币市场的发展：其重要性、资金流动格局等。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:55670,7490,29875,24587,EKeyWords:35242,20169,173374,20349,SubjectWords:214769,209175,LiteratureId:2849126,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_005,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:16.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:24,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849127,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"李扬":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:金融体制改革和货币政策分析,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:金融体制改革和货币政策分析,_RowNo:7
CommonID:DIR_12849183,ID:2849183,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140128,name:国有企业改革的回顾与展望,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先回顾了1999年国企改革：主要政策措施；脱困的成效；简短的讨论。接着概述了2000年实现脱困目标的因素和趋势：宏观经济形势；国际市场坏境；结构调整等。接着阐述了国企改革新思路：进一步强调了股份制的作用；明确提出放开搞活中型国有企业等。接着说明了国企改革的方向和速度：非国有投资者的能力问题；财政对改革的承受能力问题。最后描述了国有企业渐进式改革的必然性及大中型国有企业改革的第二个重要途径。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:47971,20415,130843,7483,EKeyWords:84313,172656,134251,20161,SubjectWords:226377,LiteratureId:2849184,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_006,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:16.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:26,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849185,DownCount:5,AuthorInfos:{"江小涓":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:国有企业改革的回顾与展望,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:国有企业改革的回顾与展望,_RowNo:8
CommonID:DIR_12849244,ID:2849244,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140129,name:农民收入与农村市场分析,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先介绍了农民收入问题：农民增收形势严重；影响农民增收的主要因素。其次介绍了农民消费和农村市场。接着阐述了农民收入与消费前景。最后给出了政策建议。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:21679,25709,24587,20780,EKeyWords:39472,27103,20349,23023,SubjectWords:214771,LiteratureId:2849245,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_007,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:16.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:19,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849246,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"张晓山":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:农民收入与农村市场分析,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:农民收入与农村市场分析,_RowNo:9
CommonID:DIR_12849297,ID:2849297,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140130,name:中国对外贸易形势分析与预测10575744,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先分析了1999年中国对外贸易形势：进出口的状况；进出口的特点及对外贸易工作的经验及启示。其次预测了2000年的形势：出口增长率进一步增加；进口增长率将下降等。最后分析了中国加入世贸组织的经济影响。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:7712,118159,173445,EKeyWords:20715,31202,61153,SubjectWords:214772,209175,LiteratureId:2849298,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_008,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:16.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:12,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849299,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"李雪松":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国对外贸易形势分析与预测,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国对外贸易形势分析与预测,_RowNo:10
CommonID:DIR_12849327,ID:2849327,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140131,name:中国吸收外资与国际收支的分析及预测,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先阐述了20世纪末国际资本流动的新形势，其次说明了中国吸收外资的国际环境挑战。接着描述了加入WTO对吸收外商投资的影响和机遇。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:47669,7484,29888,EKeyWords:62272,20162,32275,SubjectWords:214773,LiteratureId:2849328,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_009,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:16.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:14,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849329,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"裴长洪":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国吸收外资与国际收支的分析及预测,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国吸收外资与国际收支的分析及预测,_RowNo:11
CommonID:DIR_12849353,ID:2849353,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:140132,name:中国产业结构在开放条件下的调整10575745,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2848981,AbstractCH:本文首先阐述了中国加入WTO之后经济发展变化：非歧视原则；通过谈判逐步实现更自由贸易原则；促进公平原则等。其次说明了中国加入WTO的基本承诺及其对引进外资的影，入世承诺加深了中国对外开放的程度等。接着分析了加入WTO对国际贸易的影响，从农业、工业、服务业三方面进行了具体描述。最后介绍了加入WTO对中国产业结构调整的影响。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:20527,7483,61153,25758,EKeyWords:20530,20161,61153,27190,SubjectWords:214774,LiteratureId:2849354,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040330_000_010,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:fanlanlan,AddTime:2014-09-30 10:33:16.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:30:18.0,HitCount:24,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2849355,DownCount:9,AuthorInfos:{"宋泓":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2000-04-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国产业结构在开放条件下的调整,ISBN:7-80149-324-9,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国产业结构在开放条件下的调整,_RowNo:12
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