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中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告

书 名: 中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告
英 文 名: China's economic prospects
作 者:  刘国光王洛林 李京文 刘树成 汪同三
I S B N: 7-80149-994-8
丛 书 名: 经济蓝皮书春季号 订阅
关 键 词:  经济预测 经济发展趋势 研究报告 中国 2003
出版日期: 2003-05-01

中文摘要

该书汇集了中国社会科学院有关经济学家对当前中国经济发展的分析与预测的最新研究成果。全书从理论上深层次探讨中国2002年的经济发展的关键问题,并对2003年中国经济发展做出了推断。2003年中国经济发展面临着各种机遇与挑战,各种问题摆在我们面前,本书将尽力帮助读者理清一个完整的中国经济改革与发展的脉络。
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CommonID:DIR_12790803,ID:2790803,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139192,name:研究宏观经济形势,要关注收入分配问题,ShortName:null,SubName:——经济形势分析与预测春季讨论会上的发言,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是经济形势分析与预测春季讨论会上强调宏观经济形势下对收入分配问题关注。报告分为两个部分,第一部分谈农民收入问题,归结为改变城市偏向的旧战略,实行城乡并重的新战略的建议。第二部分谈一般收入分配问题,归结到从“效率优先、兼顾公平”向“效率与公平并重”分配原则过度的建议。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:31196,38204,7480,EKeyWords:66690,167869,20158,SubjectWords:206268,LiteratureId:2790804,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_001,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:21.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:14,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2790805,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:{"刘国光":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:研究宏观经济形势,要关注收入分配问题——经济形势分析与预测春季讨论会上的发言,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:研究宏观经济形势,要关注收入分配问题——经济形势分析与预测春季讨论会上的发言,_RowNo:3
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CommonID:DIR_12790844,ID:2790844,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139195,name:把握时机 善用国债10562649,ShortName:null,SubName:——关于国债减发停发的思考,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是关于国债减发停发的思考,指出需要把握时机,善用国债。报告从五个方面来进行论述:首先介绍了跨时交换与供求平衡的关系,并分析了“三农”问题的历史成因,以及社会保障特别是养老保障的历史成因,紧接着指出了国债的经济性质、意义以及适度规模,最后特别说明我们需要把握时机,加快发展。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:47844,167987,7561,68317,21573,EKeyWords:98127,167988,7840,167989,23974,SubjectWords:206336,LiteratureId:2790845,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_004,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:24.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:17,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2790846,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:{"赵京兴":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:把握时机 善用国债——关于国债减发停发的思考,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:把握时机 善用国债——关于国债减发停发的思考,_RowNo:6
CommonID:DIR_12790860,ID:2790860,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139196,name:积极的财政政策,ShortName:null,SubName:——回顾与展望,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是对我国积极地财政政策的回顾与展望。报告首先分析了1998年以来实施的积极地财政政策的背景、内容及其政策效果,同时根据当前经济发展情况分析当前的财政税收形势,最后简要说明了财政的基本职能以及中国的经济发展阶段。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:7487,23595,167990,116026,7357,EKeyWords:20165,167991,125714,167992,8002,SubjectWords:206338,LiteratureId:2790861,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_005,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:24.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:18,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2790862,DownCount:6,AuthorInfos:{"余永定":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"丛亮":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:积极的财政政策——回顾与展望,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:积极的财政政策——回顾与展望,_RowNo:7
CommonID:DIR_12790889,ID:2790889,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139197,name:中国金融运行分析(2002~2003),ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是对2002~2003年的中国金融的运行分析。报告从四个方面来进行论述:首先导言部分介绍了中国金融与逆行的宏观经济背景,其次是对2002年的金融运行的回顾与分析,再次指出了货币政策面临的新挑战,即传导机制的改变,最后是对2003年金融发展的展望。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:20416,25744,7490,EKeyWords:20433,27170,20169,SubjectWords:206346,LiteratureId:2790890,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_006,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:24.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:12,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2790891,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"李扬":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"彭兴韵":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国金融运行分析(2002~2003),ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国金融运行分析(2002~2003),_RowNo:8
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CommonID:DIR_12790986,ID:2790986,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139199,name:全面融入国际分工体系的中国工业,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是对中国工业在国际分工体系中的发展情况的分析。报告从四个方面来具体阐述:首先说明中国工业在国际分工中实现持续高速增长,其次指出中国成为吸引国际资本最多的发展中国家,同时指出中国工业目前呈现优势格局的变化和竞争态势的发展趋势,最后说明国有工业企业必须继续深化改革,适应新的竞争环境。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:7510,168013,7357,EKeyWords:20193,168014,8002,SubjectWords:206359,LiteratureId:2790987,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_008,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:25.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:18,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2790988,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"金碚":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:全面融入国际分工体系的中国工业,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:全面融入国际分工体系的中国工业,_RowNo:10
CommonID:DIR_12791005,ID:2791005,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139200,name:“三农”问题与全面建设小康社会10562672,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是对“三农”问题以及全面建设小康社会的探讨。报告首先分析了农村的经济形势,并从近期农村经济形势和深化农村改革、落实农村各项政策的几个难点问题来做出分析解读,最后从国民经济、入世挑战等方面谈认识,并得出结论:只有通过深化改革,才能最终实现城乡经济社会的协调发展,农业和农村经济才能实现可持续发展。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:68317,24109,101665,EKeyWords:32844,24111,167727,SubjectWords:206384,LiteratureId:2791006,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_009,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:25.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:8,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2791007,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:{"张晓山":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:“三农”问题与全面建设小康社会,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:“三农”问题与全面建设小康社会,_RowNo:11
CommonID:DIR_12791038,ID:14765269,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139201,name:中国城镇就业动态及其分析,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是对中国城镇就业动态的分析。报告从就业形势与失业率的变化入手,探讨了实际就业和事业状况,并对就业总量和就业结构做了分析,最后提出了政策评价与建议。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:29266,63490,7733,7357,EKeyWords:31598,61861,61922,8002,SubjectWords:206389,LiteratureId:2791039,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_010,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:25.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:2,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2791040,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:{"蔡昉":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"王美艳":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:中国城镇就业动态及其分析,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:中国城镇就业动态及其分析,_RowNo:12
CommonID:DIR_12791065,ID:2791065,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139202,name:2002年中国对外贸易形势分析及2003年预测,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是对2002年中国对外贸易形势的分析及对2003年对外贸易的预测。报告首先对2002年中国对外贸易的形势做介绍:分析2002年我国对外贸易的特点,分析了2002你那我国出口贸易高速增长的原因;报告还对2003年的对外贸易进行预测:指出我国对外贸易发展的有利因素和不利因素,并对2003年我国进出口贸易的数据进行预测。报告最后指出发扬有利因素与克服不利因素的政策与措施。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:7712,96026,21091,7357,167199,154562,EKeyWords:20715,96027,20281,8002,167199,154562,SubjectWords:206429,206351,LiteratureId:2791066,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_011,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:27.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:12,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2791067,DownCount:3,AuthorInfos:{"裴长洪":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""},"刘娜":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:2002年中国对外贸易形势分析及2003年预测,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:2002年中国对外贸易形势分析及2003年预测,_RowNo:13
CommonID:DIR_12791137,ID:2791137,SiteID:14,Type:chapter,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139203,name:2002~2003:中国利用外资分析与展望,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:本报告是对2002年至2003年中国利用外资情况的分析与展望。报告从五个方面来具体阐述:首先介绍了2002年外商在华投资的规模、技术水平和结构特点,并分析了外商在华投资的若干重要特点;报告还对“入世”后中国利用外资的政策调整做出说明,指出外商投资企业在中国经济中的地位处于持续上升的状态;最后是对2003年我国利用外资的前景展望。,AbstractEN:,KeyWords:7541,160274,7575,162520,EKeyWords:20227,167737,20281,162520,SubjectWords:206434,LiteratureId:2791138,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:N,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:Y,XmlID:b1201405010040644_000_012,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:28.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:17,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:2791139,DownCount:4,AuthorInfos:{"江小涓":{"Address":"","Affiliation":"","Email":"","Role":null,"Photo":"","Blurb":""}},BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:2002~2003:中国利用外资分析与展望,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:2002~2003:中国利用外资分析与展望,_RowNo:14
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CommonID:DIR_12791215,ID:2791215,SiteID:14,Type:backAidText,Code:null,ParentId:0,InnerCode:139206,name:《皮书系列》主要编辑出版发行人,ShortName:null,SubName:null,EnTitle:null,EnShortTitle:null,EnSubTitle:null,Level:0,BookId:2790795,AbstractCH:null,AbstractEN:null,KeyWords:null,EKeyWords:null,SubjectWords:null,LiteratureId:2791216,Fileref:null,OrderFlag:0,IsLeaf:Y,PubDate:null,FindDate:null,IssueDate:null,DocType:null,ProductSeries:null,Doi:null,InstanceID:0,MinNodeSearch:null,XmlID:null,Prop1:null,Prop2:null,Prop3:null,prop4:null,AddUser:admin,AddTime:2014-09-12 12:42:28.0,ModifyUser:Admin,ModifyTime:2023-11-06 12:29:42.0,HitCount:0,ShowType:putong,LogoID:0,PdfID:0,DownCount:0,AuthorInfos:null,BookPublishDate:2003-05-01 00:00:00.0,SearchTitle:《皮书系列》主要编辑出版发行人,ISBN:7-80149-994-8,BookTitle:中国经济前景分析——2003年春季报告,BookStatus:7,AllowDownload:Y,BookVersionNum:null,researchorg:null,CopyRightDate:null,ExcellentPeriod:null,PrizeLevel:null,IsExcellence:null,ContentClass:null,IsDisabled:N,SearchTitle_2:《皮书系列》主要编辑出版发行人,_RowNo:17
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